Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011

Addisu Workineh Kassa; Belay Bezabih Beyene

doi:doi:10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011

Addisu Workineh Kassa, Belay Bezabih Beyene

Published in Science Journal of Public Health (Volume 2, Issue 3)

Received: 29 April 2014 Accepted: 20 May 2014 Published: 30 May 2014

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Abstract

Background: Epidemic malaria creates serious public health emergencies in Ethiopia. Malaria transmission rates have been linked to temperature and precipitation; factors that will be affected by increasing climate variability. Method: We analyzed climate and malaria data from January 2003-December 2011 in Fogera district of Ethiopia. We compared monthly rainfall and temperature data with the number of confirmed malaria cases. Results: We identified 104,716 confirmed malaria cases, which were treated in the district from 2003-2011 (monthly cases range from 98 – 5038). The annual prevalence rate was 104 per 1000. Annual average rainfall was 1268 mm, and annually there were between four and six months with rainfall that exceeded 80mm. There was a trend associating months with rainfall above 80mm and higher rates of confirmed malaria cases in seven of the nine years of the study period. Average monthly temperatures throughout the nine years period ranged from 180c to 280c. Conclusions: Malaria still constitutes a serious public health problem in Fogera district. Monthly precipitation greater than 80 mm was associated with increased malaria transmission rates in the district, and temperature probably was not a limiting factor. We recommend the development of climate prediction models to help forecast and control malaria outbreaks in the district.

Published in	Science Journal of Public Health (Volume 2, Issue 3)
DOI	10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
Page(s)	234-237
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2014. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Malaria, Climate, Fogera

References

[1]	World Health Organization. Malaria epidemic assessment and reporting: Field guide for field testing 2004.
[2]	Jacob M. PN, Abdulmumini U., et al. Roll back malaria. African success story in Eritrea. January 2007; 97.
[3]	Pampana E. A text book of malaria eradication: Oxford University Press; 1969.
[4]	Malaria epidemics: Forecasting, Prevention, Early detection and Control
[5]	Ethiopian Ministry of Health in collaboration with World Health Organization. Guidelines for the prevention and control of selected epidemic diseases in Ethiopia August 2002.
[6]	Climate variability and malaria transmission: A case of Nigeria.
[7]	Ethiopian Ministry of Health. Malaria indicator survey 2007. 2007.
[8]	Ethiopian Ministry of Health. National malaria guideline. August 2011.
[9]	Hailay D., Joel S., Awash T., and Marc L. Alert threshold algorithms and malaria epidemic detection.
[10]	Systems for the early detection of malaria epidemics in Africa.

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APA Style

Addisu Workineh Kassa, Belay Bezabih Beyene. (2014). Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011. Science Journal of Public Health, 2(3), 234-237. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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Addisu Workineh Kassa; Belay Bezabih Beyene. Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011. Sci. J. Public Health 2014, 2(3), 234-237. doi: 10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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AMA Style

Addisu Workineh Kassa, Belay Bezabih Beyene. Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011. Sci J Public Health. 2014;2(3):234-237. doi: 10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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@article{10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26,
  author = {Addisu Workineh Kassa and Belay Bezabih Beyene},
  title = {Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011},
  journal = {Science Journal of Public Health},
  volume = {2},
  number = {3},
  pages = {234-237},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjph.20140203.26},
  abstract = {Background: Epidemic malaria creates serious public health emergencies in Ethiopia. Malaria transmission rates have been linked to temperature and precipitation; factors that will be affected by increasing climate variability. Method: We analyzed climate and malaria data from January 2003-December 2011 in Fogera district of Ethiopia. We compared monthly rainfall and temperature data with the number of confirmed malaria cases. Results: We identified 104,716 confirmed malaria cases, which were treated in the district from 2003-2011 (monthly cases range from 98 – 5038). The annual prevalence rate was 104 per 1000. Annual average rainfall was 1268 mm, and annually there were between four and six months with rainfall that exceeded 80mm. There was a trend associating months with rainfall above 80mm and higher rates of confirmed malaria cases in seven of the nine years of the study period. Average monthly temperatures throughout the nine years period ranged from 180c to 280c. Conclusions: Malaria still constitutes a serious public health problem in Fogera district. Monthly precipitation greater than 80 mm was associated with increased malaria transmission rates in the district, and temperature probably was not a limiting factor. We recommend the development of climate prediction models to help forecast and control malaria outbreaks in the district.},
 year = {2014}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011
AU  - Addisu Workineh Kassa
AU  - Belay Bezabih Beyene
Y1  - 2014/05/30
PY  - 2014
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
DO  - 10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
T2  - Science Journal of Public Health
JF  - Science Journal of Public Health
JO  - Science Journal of Public Health
SP  - 234
EP  - 237
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2328-7950
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
AB  - Background: Epidemic malaria creates serious public health emergencies in Ethiopia. Malaria transmission rates have been linked to temperature and precipitation; factors that will be affected by increasing climate variability. Method: We analyzed climate and malaria data from January 2003-December 2011 in Fogera district of Ethiopia. We compared monthly rainfall and temperature data with the number of confirmed malaria cases. Results: We identified 104,716 confirmed malaria cases, which were treated in the district from 2003-2011 (monthly cases range from 98 – 5038). The annual prevalence rate was 104 per 1000. Annual average rainfall was 1268 mm, and annually there were between four and six months with rainfall that exceeded 80mm. There was a trend associating months with rainfall above 80mm and higher rates of confirmed malaria cases in seven of the nine years of the study period. Average monthly temperatures throughout the nine years period ranged from 180c to 280c. Conclusions: Malaria still constitutes a serious public health problem in Fogera district. Monthly precipitation greater than 80 mm was associated with increased malaria transmission rates in the district, and temperature probably was not a limiting factor. We recommend the development of climate prediction models to help forecast and control malaria outbreaks in the district.
VL  - 2
IS  - 3
ER  -

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Author Information

Addisu Workineh Kassa

Public health emergency management, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia
Belay Bezabih Beyene

Amhara regional health bureau, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia

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Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Addisu Workineh Kassa, Belay Bezabih Beyene. (2014). Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011. Science Journal of Public Health, 2(3), 234-237. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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ACS Style

Addisu Workineh Kassa; Belay Bezabih Beyene. Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011. Sci. J. Public Health 2014, 2(3), 234-237. doi: 10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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AMA Style

Addisu Workineh Kassa, Belay Bezabih Beyene. Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011. Sci J Public Health. 2014;2(3):234-237. doi: 10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26

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@article{10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26,
  author = {Addisu Workineh Kassa and Belay Bezabih Beyene},
  title = {Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011},
  journal = {Science Journal of Public Health},
  volume = {2},
  number = {3},
  pages = {234-237},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjph.20140203.26},
  abstract = {Background: Epidemic malaria creates serious public health emergencies in Ethiopia. Malaria transmission rates have been linked to temperature and precipitation; factors that will be affected by increasing climate variability. Method: We analyzed climate and malaria data from January 2003-December 2011 in Fogera district of Ethiopia. We compared monthly rainfall and temperature data with the number of confirmed malaria cases. Results: We identified 104,716 confirmed malaria cases, which were treated in the district from 2003-2011 (monthly cases range from 98 – 5038). The annual prevalence rate was 104 per 1000. Annual average rainfall was 1268 mm, and annually there were between four and six months with rainfall that exceeded 80mm. There was a trend associating months with rainfall above 80mm and higher rates of confirmed malaria cases in seven of the nine years of the study period. Average monthly temperatures throughout the nine years period ranged from 180c to 280c. Conclusions: Malaria still constitutes a serious public health problem in Fogera district. Monthly precipitation greater than 80 mm was associated with increased malaria transmission rates in the district, and temperature probably was not a limiting factor. We recommend the development of climate prediction models to help forecast and control malaria outbreaks in the district.},
 year = {2014}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Climate Variability and Malaria Transmission – Fogera District, Ethiopia, 2003-2011
AU  - Addisu Workineh Kassa
AU  - Belay Bezabih Beyene
Y1  - 2014/05/30
PY  - 2014
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
DO  - 10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
T2  - Science Journal of Public Health
JF  - Science Journal of Public Health
JO  - Science Journal of Public Health
SP  - 234
EP  - 237
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2328-7950
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjph.20140203.26
AB  - Background: Epidemic malaria creates serious public health emergencies in Ethiopia. Malaria transmission rates have been linked to temperature and precipitation; factors that will be affected by increasing climate variability. Method: We analyzed climate and malaria data from January 2003-December 2011 in Fogera district of Ethiopia. We compared monthly rainfall and temperature data with the number of confirmed malaria cases. Results: We identified 104,716 confirmed malaria cases, which were treated in the district from 2003-2011 (monthly cases range from 98 – 5038). The annual prevalence rate was 104 per 1000. Annual average rainfall was 1268 mm, and annually there were between four and six months with rainfall that exceeded 80mm. There was a trend associating months with rainfall above 80mm and higher rates of confirmed malaria cases in seven of the nine years of the study period. Average monthly temperatures throughout the nine years period ranged from 180c to 280c. Conclusions: Malaria still constitutes a serious public health problem in Fogera district. Monthly precipitation greater than 80 mm was associated with increased malaria transmission rates in the district, and temperature probably was not a limiting factor. We recommend the development of climate prediction models to help forecast and control malaria outbreaks in the district.
VL  - 2
IS  - 3
ER  -

Copy | Download